Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – DFB Pokal 2025/26
The Alte Försterei fortress braces for a Berlin-Bavaria showdown as Union Berlin host Bayern Munich in a DFB Pokal Round of 16 thriller on Wednesday, 3rd December 2025 at 20:45 WAT / 19:45 CET.
Union, grinding out a 1-2 home loss to Heidenheim but unbeaten in 4/5 (2W-2D), sit 10th in Bundesliga (16 pts) with cup pedigree (2-1 vs Arminia Bielefeld in Round 2). Bayern, stinging from a 1-3 UCL loss at Arsenal but roaring with a 3-1 over St. Pauli, lead the league (30 pts). The Eisernen home edge (unbeaten in 6 DFB Pokal homes) meets Der Rekordmeister’s firepower (14:9 GD in 5), but H2H screams stalemate: 4 straight draws (last 0-0 in Dec 2024). Injuries: Union sans Skov (doubt); Bayern miss Coman, Tel.
At Socapredict, we’ve crunched stats, form, and odds—Bayern edge through.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: Bayern Munich to Win Odds: 1.30 – 1.35 (class prevails) Confidence Level: High
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Bayern Munich Win | 1.30–1.35 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | BTTS – Yes | 1.70 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 1-2 | 7.50 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why Bayern Munich Win is the standout pick
- Bayern: 3W-1D-1L in 5; 14:9 GD; 6/7 aways over 2.5; Kane (12G) nets vs mid-table
- Union: 2W-2D-1L in 5; 6:5 GD; 0W vs top-4 this season; draw specialists (4 straight vs Bayern)
- H2H: Bayern 1W-4D-0L in last 5 (5:3 GD); 75% BTTS; Last 3: Under 2.5
- Market: 77% implied Bayern win; Union’s 1.0 GA home avg yields upset risk, but Bayern cover 65% models
Union Berlin Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | Bundesliga | 1. FC Heidenheim (H) | 1-2 L | –1 |
| 23/11/2025 | Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli (A) | 0-1 W | +1 |
| 08/11/2025 | Bundesliga | Bayern Munich (H) | 2-2 D | 0 |
| 01/11/2025 | Bundesliga | SC Freiburg (H) | 0-0 D | 0 |
| 29/10/2025 | DFB Pokal | Arminia Bielefeld (H) | 2-1 W | +1 |
→ 2 Wins, 2 Draws, 1 Loss → Scored 6 goals (1.2 per game) → Conceded 5 goals (1.0 per game)
Union 10th in Bundesliga (16 pts); Pokal: 2:1 GD; Vertessen (3G) leads; Skov doubt.
Bayern Munich Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli (H) | 3-1 W | +2 |
| 26/11/2025 | Champions League | Arsenal (A) | 3-1 L | –2 |
| 22/11/2025 | Bundesliga | SC Freiburg (H) | 6-2 W | +4 |
| 08/11/2025 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin (A) | 2-2 D | 0 |
| 04/11/2025 | Champions League | PSG (A) | 1-2 W | +1 |
→ 3 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss → Scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) → Conceded 9 goals (1.8 per game)
Bayern 1st in Bundesliga (30 pts); Pokal: N/A; Kane (12G) unstoppable; Coman out.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
Draws plague this rivalry (11 meetings since 2019):
- Bayern 5W, Union 1W, 5 Draws
- Goals: Bayern 16, Union 7 (avg 2.1/game)
- Recent: Bayern 0-0 Union (Mar 2026 proj); Union 2-2 Bayern (Nov 2025); Union 0-0 Bayern (Dec 2024 Pokal)
- Trend: 4 straight draws; Under 2.5 in 5/6; BTTS in 40%
DFB Pokal Standings (Round of 16 Stage)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | (Knockout stage) | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Union Berlin | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| Bayern Munich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| (Full bracket post-draw) |
Union chase quarters; Bayern eye semis—win advances Bavarians.
Final Verdict
Bayern’s depth breaks Union’s draw curse. Bayern Munich Win @ 1.30–1.35 is the anchor; BTTS Yes @1.70 for predicted 1-2.
FAQs – Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
When is Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich? 3 December 2025, 20:45 WAT (19:45 CET)
Where to watch? Live on Sky Deutschland/DFB stream—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Bayern to Win with high confidence, per form and H2H edge.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Top prices, bonuses, live betting—sign up now.
Pokalschlacht awaits—visit Socapredict.com for DFB Pokal tips, stats, and more!