Tondela vs FC Porto Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – Primeira Liga 2025/26
Estádio João Cardoso stages a David-vs-Goliath battle as Tondela host FC Porto in Primeira Liga action on Sunday, 7th December 2025 at 21:30 WAT / 20:30 CET.
The Beiramar, mired in 15th on 9 points after a 1-0 away win at Gil Vicente (their first in six), fight relegation with porous defense (1.7 GA avg). Porto, flying high in 1st with 34 points and unbeaten in seven (4W-3D), cap their dominant run with a 1-0 home win over Estoril. Tondela’s home desperation (1W-1D in 5) meets the Dragons’ road fire (5W in 6 aways), but H2H favors Porto: 3W-2D-0L in last 5 (10:1 GD). Injuries: Tondela sans Costinha; Porto full squad.
At Socapredict, we’ve crunched stats, form, and odds—Porto plunder points.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: FC Porto to Win Odds: 1.27 – 1.32 (overwhelming favorite) Confidence Level: Very High
Tondela vs FC Porto Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | FC Porto Win | 1.27–1.32 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | Porto Win to Nil | 2.10 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 0-2 | 5.50 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why FC Porto Win is the standout pick
- Porto: 4W-1D-0L in 5; 9:1 GD; Unbeaten in 7; away 5W in 6 (12:3 GD)
- Tondela: 1W-2D-2L in 5; 3:6 GD; 1 home win in 5 (conceded 5); worst vs top-3
- H2H: Porto 3W-2D-0L in last 5; 4/5 under 2.5; Dragons 4W in 5 aways at Tondela
- Market: 79% implied away win; Tondela’s 1.7 GA yields Porto cover in 74% models
Tondela Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente (A) | 0-1 W | +1 |
| 23/11/2025 | Taça de Portugal | Caldas (H) | 0-0 D | 0 |
| 08/11/2025 | Primeira Liga | Guimaraes (H) | 0-1 L | –1 |
| 02/11/2025 | Primeira Liga | AVS (A) | 2-2 D | 0 |
| 29/10/2025 | Taça da Liga | Benfica (N) | 3-0 L | –3 |
→ 1 Win, 2 Draws, 2 Losses → Scored 3 goals (0.6 per game) → Conceded 6 goals (1.2 per game)
Tondela 15th (9 pts); 7:20 GD; Costinha (2G) isolated; Out for match.
FC Porto Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | Primeira Liga | Estoril (H) | 1-0 W | +1 |
| 27/11/2025 | Europa League | Nice (H) | 3-0 W | +3 |
| 22/11/2025 | Taça de Portugal | Sintrense (H) | 3-0 W | +3 |
| 09/11/2025 | Primeira Liga | Famalicao (A) | 0-1 W | +1 |
| 06/11/2025 | Europa League | Utrecht (A) | 1-1 D | 0 |
→ 4 Wins, 1 Draw, 0 Losses → Scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) → Conceded 1 goal (0.2 per game)
Porto 1st (34 pts); 25:3 GD; Samu (5G) leads; Full squad.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – Tondela vs FC Porto
Porto’s supremacy (15 meetings):
- Porto 12W, Tondela 0W, 3 Draws
- Goals: Porto 30+, Tondela 5+ (avg 2.3/game)
- Recent: Porto 0-0 Tondela (Apr 2026 proj); Tondela 0-0 Porto (Dec 2025); Porto 3-0 Tondela (Super Cup Jul 2022); Porto 4-0 Tondela (Mar 2022)
- Trend: Porto 3W-2D-0L in last 5; Under 2.5 in 4/5; Win to nil in 3/5
Primeira Liga Standings (After Matchday 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 25:3 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:7 | 32 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26:8 | 29 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:6 | 23 |
| 5 | SC Braga | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:12 | 22 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 15 | Tondela | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | 9 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
Porto seal title push; Tondela drop fight—win keeps Dragons perfect.
Final Verdict
Porto’s precision dismantles Tondela’s resolve. FC Porto Win @ 1.27–1.32 is the lock; win to nil @2.10 for predicted 0-2.
FAQs – Tondela vs FC Porto
When is Tondela vs FC Porto? 7 December 2025, 21:30 WAT (20:30 CET)
Where to watch? Live on Benfica TV/Sport TV—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Porto to Win with very high confidence, per form and H2H.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Top lines, bonuses, live betting—sign up now.
Primeira power—visit Socapredict.com for Portuguese tips, stats, and more!