PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – UEFA Champions League 2025/26
Philips Stadion lights up for a Group Stage decider as PSV Eindhoven host Atletico Madrid on Tuesday, 9th December 2025 at 21:00 WAT / 20:00 CET.
The Boeren, 15th with 8 points after a 2-0 away win at Heerenveen (De Jong brace), chase play-offs with 5 straight wins all comps (15:2 GD). Atletico, 12th on 9 points post a 1-0 home win over Athletic Club (Morata winner), eye advancement with gritty UCL form (3W-0D-2L). PSV’s home fortress (3W in 3) meets Simeone’s Colchoneros’ road steel (2W in 4 aways), but H2H is barren: lone 0-0 draw. Injuries: PSV sans Schouten; Atletico full squad.
At Socapredict, we’ve crunched stats, form, and odds—Atletico’s edge in Eindhoven.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: Away Win or Draw (X2) Odds: 1.38 – 1.42 (Simeone safety) Confidence Level: High
PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Away Win or Draw (X2) | 1.38–1.42 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | Atletico Win | 2.20 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 1-1 | 6.00 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why X2 is the standout pick
- Atletico: 3W-0D-2L in 5; 6:5 GD; 3 UCL wins in 5; Morata (3G) nets vs Dutch
- PSV: 5 straight wins (15:2 GD); But 0 UCL wins vs top-5; 1.6 GA home
- H2H: Lone 0-0 (Dec 2025); Atletico 2W-1D vs Dutch (Europa 2018-22)
- Market: 72% implied no home win; PSV’s 1.6 GA yields X2 in 70% models
PSV Eindhoven Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | Eredivisie | Heerenveen (A) | 0-2 W | +2 |
| 30/11/2025 | Eredivisie | Volendam (H) | 3-0 W | +3 |
| 26/11/2025 | UCL | Liverpool (A) | 1-4 W | +3 |
| 22/11/2025 | Eredivisie | NAC Breda (A) | 0-1 W | +1 |
| 09/11/2025 | Eredivisie | AZ Alkmaar (A) | 1-5 W | +4 |
→ 5 Wins, 0 Draws, 0 Losses → Scored 15 goals (3.0 per game) → Conceded 2 goals (0.4 per game)
PSV 15th UCL (8 pts); 13:8 GD; De Jong (4G UCL) hot; Schouten out.
Atletico Madrid Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | La Liga | Athletic Club (A) | 1-0 W | +1 |
| 02/12/2025 | La Liga | Barcelona (H) | 3-1 L | –2 |
| 29/11/2025 | La Liga | Oviedo (H) | 2-0 W | +2 |
| 26/11/2025 | UCL | Inter (H) | 2-1 W | +1 |
| 23/11/2025 | La Liga | Getafe (A) | 0-1 W | +1 |
→ 3 Wins, 0 Draws, 2 Losses → Scored 6 goals (1.2 per game) → Conceded 5 goals (1.0 per game)
Atletico 12th UCL (9 pts); 12:10 GD; Morata (3G UCL) leads; Full squad.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid
First competitive meeting (1 prior friendly/exhibition):
- 0W-1D-0L (0-0 draw in Dec 2025 friendly)
- Goals: 0-0 (avg 0/game)
- Recent: Lone 0-0 (Dec 2025)
- Trend: Under 2.5 (100%); No BTTS; Atletico 2W-1D vs Dutch (Ajax, 2014 UCL)
UEFA Champions League Standings (League Phase, After Matchday 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 12 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 12 | Atletico Madrid | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:10 | 9 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 15 | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 8 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
Atletico play-off lock; PSV survival—win vaults Colchoneros to 12 pts.
Final Verdict
Atletico’s Simeone steel stifles PSV’s surge. X2 @ 1.38–1.42 hedges smartly; under 2.5 @1.75 for predicted 1-1.
FAQs – PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid
When is PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid? 9 December 2025, 21:00 WAT (20:00 CET)
Where to watch? Live on TNT Sports/UEFA.tv—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Away Win or Draw (X2) with high confidence, per form and no H2H.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Top lines, bonuses, live betting—sign up now.
Philips passion—visit Socapredict.com for UCL tips, stats, and more!