Manchester City vs Leeds United Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – Premier League 2025/26
The Etihad Stadium braces for a Yorkshire derby revival as Manchester City host Leeds United in a Premier League showdown on Saturday, 29th November 2025 at 16:00 WAT / 15:00 GMT.
City, stinging from a midweek Champions League upset (0-2 vs Bayer Leverkusen) and a 2-1 loss at Newcastle, sit third with 22 points—seven behind leaders Arsenal. Leeds, mired in relegation peril (18th, 11 points), limp in after three straight defeats, conceding 11 in five. The Citizens’ home dominance (5W-0D-1L) meets Leeds’ road nightmare (1W, 15 conceded in 6 aways), but H2H history adds spice—City’s 4-0 aggregate last season, yet Leeds’ lone win in 15 Etihad visits (1992).
At Socapredict, we’ve analyzed form, stats, and markets for the edge. Guardiola’s machine rebounds against Farke’s strugglers—expect fireworks.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: Manchester City to Win (Home Win) Odds: 1.26 – 1.30 (banker value) Confidence Level: High
Manchester City vs Leeds United Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Manchester City Win | 1.26–1.30 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.65 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | City Win & BTTS – Yes | 3.40 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 3-1 | 8.00 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why City Win is the standout pick
- Hosts: Won 13 straight PL home games vs promoted sides; 4 straight vs Leeds (avg 4 goals/game)
- Leeds: 3 straight losses, 11 conceded in 5; 0 goals in 4/6 aways; worst defense vs top-half attacks
- Recent: City’s 3-0 vs Liverpool, 3-1 vs Bournemouth; Leeds leaked 13 in last 6 (W1)
- Market: 75% implied home win; Haaland (99 PL goals) nets anytime @1.40 for combo boost
Manchester City Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | Champions League | Bayer Leverkusen (H) | 0-2 L | –2 |
| 22/11/2025 | Premier League | Newcastle (A) | 2-1 L | –1 |
| 09/11/2025 | Premier League | Liverpool (H) | 3-0 W | +3 |
| 05/11/2025 | Champions League | Borussia Dortmund (H) | 4-1 W | +3 |
| 02/11/2025 | Premier League | Bournemouth (H) | 3-1 W | +2 |
→ 3 Wins, 0 Draws, 2 Losses → Scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) → Conceded 6 goals (1.2 per game)
City 3rd in PL (22 pts); UCL: 10:5 GD; Haaland (13 PL goals) & Doku (big chances created leader) fire; Rodri/Kovacic out.
Leeds United Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | Premier League | Aston Villa (H) | 1-2 L | –1 |
| 09/11/2025 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest (A) | 3-1 L | –2 |
| 01/11/2025 | Premier League | Brighton (A) | 3-0 L | –3 |
| 24/10/2025 | Premier League | West Ham (H) | 2-1 W | +1 |
| 18/10/2025 | Premier League | Burnley (A) | 2-0 L | –2 |
→ 1 Win, 0 Draws, 4 Losses → Scored 4 goals (0.8 per game) → Conceded 11 goals (2.2 per game)
Leeds 18th (11 pts); 11 goals scored, 22 conceded; Nmecha (3G) sparks, but defense hemorrhages (15 in 6 aways); Stach/Bornauw out.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – Manchester City vs Leeds United
City dominate recent derbies (15 meetings):
- City 8W, Leeds 4W, 3 Draws
- Goals: City 29, Leeds 17 (avg 3.2/game)
- Recent: City 2-1 Leeds (2023); Leeds 1-3 City (2022); City 7-0 Leeds (2021)
- Trend: City won last 4 (12-2 aggregate); 60% Over 2.5; Leeds 1W in 15 Etihad visits
Premier League Standings (After Matchday 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:6 | 29 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:9 | 20 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 18 | Leeds United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | 11 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
City chase title; Leeds fight drop—win lifts Citizens to 25 pts.
Final Verdict
City’s Etihad edge and Leeds’ woes spell routine. Manchester City Win @ 1.26–1.30 is the anchor; add Over 2.5 @1.65 for a predicted 3-1 rout.
FAQs – Manchester City vs Leeds United
When is Manchester City vs Leeds United? 29 November 2025, 16:00 WAT (15:00 GMT)
Where to watch? Live on Sky Sports/PEACOCK streams—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? City to Win with high confidence, per H2H and form.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Top prices, bonuses, live bets—grab now.
Stay sharp—visit Socapredict.com for PL previews, tips, and wins!