Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – UEFA Champions League 2025/26
The Astana Arena hosts a Group Stage decider as Kairat Almaty welcome Olympiacos Piraeus on Tuesday, 9th December 2025 at 16:30 WAT / 15:30 CET.
Kazakh champions Kairat, 35th with 1 point after a 3-2 loss at Copenhagen (late rally from Satpaev & Baibek), eye a first UCL win in their debut proper phase. Olympiacos, 33rd with 2 points post a 3-4 thriller vs Real Madrid (El Kaabi’s goal), chase play-offs with 4 domestic wins in 5. Kairat’s home resilience (0-0 vs Pafos) meets Olympiacos’ road bite (1-1 at Utrecht), but H2H is barren: lone 0-0 draw. Injuries: Kairat sans Santana, Joao Paulo (knees); Olympiacos full squad.
At Socapredict, we’ve crunched stats, form, and odds—Olympiacos edge it in Almaty.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: Olympiacos Win or Draw (X2) Odds: 1.24 – 1.28 (value cover) Confidence Level: High
Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Olympiacos X2 | 1.24–1.28 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.70 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | Olympiacos Win | 1.46 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 0-1 | 6.50 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why X2 is the standout pick
- Olympiacos: 4W-0D-1L in 5; 15:6 GD; 4/5 wins (domestic); El Kaabi (3G UCL) exploits defenses
- Kairat: 1W-2D-2L in 5; 5:6 GD; 0 UCL wins; 4 losses in 5 (conceded 14 total)
- H2H: Lone 0-0 (Dec 2025); But Olympiacos 1W-1D vs Kazakh sides (Europa 2016-17)
- Market: 81% implied no home win; Kairat’s 1.2 GA yields X2 in 72% models
Kairat Almaty Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | UCL | Copenhagen (A) | 3-2 L | –1 |
| 05/11/2025 | UCL | Inter (A) | 2-1 L | –1 |
| 26/10/2025 | Premier League | Astana (H) | 1-1 D | 0 |
| 21/10/2025 | UCL | Pafos (H) | 0-0 D | 0 |
| 17/10/2025 | Premier League | Kyzyl-Zhar (A) | 0-1 W | +1 |
→ 1 Win, 2 Draws, 2 Losses → Scored 5 goals (1.0 per game) → Conceded 6 goals (1.2 per game)
Kairat 35th UCL (1 pt); 4:14 GD; Edmilson (2G) leads; Santana out.
Olympiacos Piraeus Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | Super League | OFI Crete (H) | 3-0 W | +3 |
| 03/12/2025 | Cup | Ellas Syros (A) | 2-5 W | +3 |
| 30/11/2025 | Super League | Panetolikos (A) | 0-1 W | +1 |
| 26/11/2025 | UCL | Real Madrid (H) | 3-4 L | –1 |
| 22/11/2025 | Super League | Atromitos (H) | 3-0 W | +3 |
→ 4 Wins, 0 Draws, 1 Loss → Scored 15 goals (3.0 per game) → Conceded 6 goals (1.2 per game)
Olympiacos 33rd UCL (2 pts); 5:13 GD; El Kaabi (3G UCL) hot; Full squad.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus
First competitive meeting (1 prior friendly/exhibition):
- 0W-1D-0L (0-0 draw in Dec 2025 friendly)
- Goals: 0-0 (avg 0/game)
- Recent: Lone 0-0 (Dec 2025)
- Trend: Under 2.5 (100%); No BTTS; Olympiacos 1W-1D vs Kazakh sides (Astana, 2016-17 Europa)
UEFA Champions League Standings (League Phase, After Matchday 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 12 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 33 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | 2 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 35 | Kairat Almaty | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | 1 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
Basement battle; Win boosts Olympiacos to 5 pts, Kairat to 4.
Final Verdict
Olympiacos’ experience trumps Kairat’s debut nerves. X2 @ 1.24–1.28 hedges wisely; under 2.5 @1.70 for predicted 0-1.
FAQs – Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus
When is Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus? 9 December 2025, 16:30 WAT (15:30 CET)
Where to watch? Live on TNT Sports/UEFA.tv—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Away Win or Draw (X2) with high confidence, per form and experience.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Top lines, bonuses, live betting—sign up now.
UCL underdogs—visit Socapredict.com for Champions League tips, stats, and more!