FC Porto vs OGC Nice Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – UEFA Europa League 2025/26
Estádio do Dragão turns into a fortress of blue and white as FC Porto host OGC Nice in a decisive UEFA Europa League league-phase clash on Thursday, 27th November 2025 at 18:45 WAT / 17:45 GMT.
Porto, chasing a top-8 bye with 7 points (14th), face a Nice side desperate for survival at the foot of the table (35th, 0 points, 4:9 GD). The Dragons boast an unbeaten home streak in Europe (6W in last 7), while Les Aiglons endure a nightmare run—four straight defeats across all comps, including a humiliating 5-1 derby loss to Marseille. First-ever meeting: Portuguese sides dominate French foes (7W in last 10 Europa ties), but Nice’s counter-threat (Moffi 2G) could test Porto’s backline.
At Socapredict, we’ve dissected form, stats, and odds—unveiling a clear path to profit in this mismatch.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: FC Porto to Win (Home Win) Odds: 1.40 – 1.44 (strong favorite) Confidence Level: High
FC Porto vs OGC Nice Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | FC Porto Win | 1.40–1.44 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Porto Win & BTTS – Yes | 3.40 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.30 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 2-1 | 8.50 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why Porto Win is the standout pick
- Hosts: Unbeaten in 14/17 games (W12, D2); 11 clean sheets in 17, including 5/7 homes
- Nice: Winless in 14 UCL/Europa main stage (10L); 4 straight losses, conceding 2.2/game avg
- No H2H, but Porto’s home edge (71% win prob) crushes Nice’s road woes (0W in 4 Europa aways)
- Market: Porto 71% implied; Nice’s BTTS in 13/17 adds combo value
FC Porto Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | Taça de Portugal | Sintrense (H) | 3-0 W | +3 |
| 09/11/2025 | Primeira Liga | Famalicão (A) | 0-1 W | +1 |
| 06/11/2025 | Europa League | Utrecht (A) | 1-1 D | 0 |
| 02/11/2025 | Primeira Liga | SC Braga (H) | 2-1 W | +1 |
| 27/10/2025 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense (A) | 1-2 W | +1 |
→ 4 Wins, 1 Draw, 0 Losses → Scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) → Conceded 3 goals (0.6 per game)
Porto 2nd in Primeira Liga (28 pts); Europa: 4:4 GD; Samu Omorodion (2G) leads attack; Nehuén Pérez doubtful.
OGC Nice Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | Ligue 1 | Marseille (H) | 1-5 L | –4 |
| 09/11/2025 | Ligue 1 | Metz (A) | 2-1 L | –1 |
| 06/11/2025 | Europa League | SC Freiburg (H) | 1-3 L | –2 |
| 01/11/2025 | Ligue 1 | PSG (A) | 1-0 L | –1 |
| 29/10/2025 | Ligue 1 | Lille (H) | 2-0 W | +2 |
→ 1 Win, 0 Draws, 4 Losses → Scored 5 goals (1.0 per game) → Conceded 11 goals (2.2 per game)
Nice 9th in Ligue 1 (18 pts); Europa: 4:9 GD, 0 pts; Terem Moffi key (2G); Injuries: Bombito, Abdelmonem, Ndayishimiye out.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – FC Porto vs OGC Nice
Premier encounter—unchartered waters, but trends favor the hosts:
- No prior meetings; French sides 3W in 10 vs Portuguese in Europa (but Nice 0W in 14 main stage)
- Broader: Porto unbeaten in 7/8 vs French (W5, D2); Nice’s aways: 0W, 2.5 GA avg
- Average goals: Expect Porto control (hosts avg 2.1G in Europa homes); Nice’s BTTS in 75% games
- Fun fact: Porto’s last home Europa vs French: 3-1W vs Monaco (2023)
UEFA Europa League Standings (After Matchday 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 5 | SC Braga | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 14 | FC Porto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 35 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 0 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
Porto eye playoffs; Nice fight relegation—win vaults Dragons to 10 pts.
Final Verdict
Porto’s home dominance and Nice’s collapse make this a banker. Back Porto Win @ 1.40–1.44 for reliable returns; upgrade to Porto Win & BTTS Yes @ 3.40 in a predicted 2-1.
FAQs – FC Porto vs OGC Nice
When is FC Porto vs OGC Nice? 27 November 2025, 18:45 WAT (17:45 GMT)
Where to watch? Live on UEFA networks and streams—check local listings.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Porto to Win with high confidence, per form and standings.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Sharp lines, bonuses, live options—claim boosts now.
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