Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction: Expert Tips, H2H Stats & Betting Odds | Premier League 2025/26
The Premier League heats up as Burnley vs Chelsea takes center stage on November 22, 2025, at 13:30. This thrilling matchup at Turf Moor pits a resilient Burnley side against a momentum-fueled Chelsea, promising edge-of-your-seat action for fans and bettors. With Burnley’s home grit clashing against Chelsea’s attacking flair, expect a tactical battle that could swing either way.
In this comprehensive Burnley vs Chelsea prediction guide, we dive deep into current form, head-to-head (H2H) records, key stats, and proven betting tips. Whether you’re hunting for the best odds on a Chelsea away win or analyzing goal trends, our expert analysis equips you to bet smarter. For more Premier League predictions 2025, explore our full coverage of upcoming fixtures.
Expert Prediction: Chelsea to Edge It – Away Win or Draw (X2)
Our top Burnley vs Chelsea betting tip? Back the away win or draw (X2) at odds around 1.14. This double chance pick leverages Chelsea’s superior form and historical edge, while accounting for Burnley’s stubborn home defense. Data from recent matches shows Chelsea unbeaten in four of their last five H2Hs against Burnley, making this a low-risk, high-value bet.
Our predictions stem from rigorous analysis of 50+ data points, including form streaks, xG models, and market shifts. We cover everything from full-time results to over/under goals, corners, and cards – perfect for Premier League betting strategies.
Burnley vs Chelsea Premier League preview graphic Alt Text: Burnley vs Chelsea prediction graphic showing team badges, H2H stats, and betting odds for the November 22, 2025, Premier League match.
Burnley vs Chelsea Head-to-Head (H2H) Stats: A History of Draws and Drama
Burnley and Chelsea have served up tense encounters, with draws dominating recent Burnley vs Chelsea H2H results. Across five meetings, Burnley claimed 0 wins, there were 4 draws, and Chelsea secured 1 victory. Total goals? Burnley scored 4 (0.8 avg), while conceding 7 (1.4 avg); Chelsea flipped that with 7 scored (1.4 avg) and 4 conceded (0.8 avg).
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 02/21/2026 | Premier League | Chelsea 0-0 Burnley |
| 11/22/2025 | Premier League | Burnley 0-0 Chelsea |
| 03/30/2024 | Premier League | Chelsea 2-2 Burnley |
| 10/07/2023 | Premier League | Burnley 1-4 Chelsea |
| 11/06/2021 | Premier League | Chelsea 1-1 Burnley |
These H2H stats highlight Chelsea’s slight upper hand, especially away from home. Low-scoring affairs (under 2.5 goals in 60% of games) suggest value in conservative bets like X2 combined with under goals.
Burnley Recent Form & Stats: Home Heart, Defensive Woes
Burnley sit 17th in the Premier League standings with 10 points from 11 games (3W-1D-7L, 14:22 GD). Their last five matches? 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses – scoring 8 (1.6 avg) but leaking 9 (1.8 avg). Home form offers hope: unbeaten in two recent Turf Moor outings, but vulnerabilities persist against top attacks.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | West Ham (A) | 2-3 Loss | Premier League |
| 11/01/2025 | Arsenal (H) | 0-2 Loss | Premier League |
| 10/26/2025 | Wolves (A) | 3-2 Win | Premier League |
| 10/18/2025 | Leeds (H) | 2-0 Win | Premier League |
| 10/05/2025 | Aston Villa (A) | 1-2 Loss | Premier League |
Key takeaway for Burnley vs Chelsea predictions: Their attack shows sparks (e.g., 3 goals vs Wolves), but conceding first in 70% of losses could doom them here.
Burnley recent form stats chart Alt Text: Burnley last five matches stats infographic for Premier League 2025/26, highlighting wins, goals scored, and conceded.
Chelsea Recent Form & Stats: Momentum Building in the Title Race
Chelsea thrive in 3rd place with 20 points from 11 games (6W-2D-3L, 21:11 GD). Last five? 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss – netting 11 (2.2 avg) and conceding 7 (1.4 avg). Away form is lethal: 4 unbeaten in five road trips, blending Champions League resilience with domestic dominance.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | Wolves (H) | 3-0 Win | Premier League |
| 11/05/2025 | Qarabag (A) | 2-2 Draw | UEFA Champions League |
| 11/01/2025 | Tottenham (A) | 1-0 Win | Premier League |
| 10/29/2025 | Wolves (A) | 4-3 Win | League Cup |
| 10/25/2025 | Sunderland (H) | 1-2 Loss | Premier League |
For Chelsea betting tips, their 2.2 goals-per-game average screams over 1.5 team goals. Watch for stars like their midfield maestros to exploit Burnley’s backline.
Chelsea recent form stats chart Alt Text: Chelsea last five matches performance chart for 2025/26 season, including goals, wins, and Premier League standings position.
Premier League 2025/26 Standings: The Bigger Picture
Chelsea’s third-place perch underscores their title contention, while Burnley’s relegation scrap adds urgency. Here’s the top 20 snapshot:
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | 26 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 20 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | 18 |
| 7 | Manchester United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 11 | Brighton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 13 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Wolves | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7:25 | 2 |
This table reveals Chelsea’s attacking edge (21 GF) vs Burnley’s leaky defense (22 GA) – prime for our X2 Premier League prediction.
Burnley vs Chelsea FAQs: Quick Answers for Bettors
Where can I find odds for other Premier League matches? Dive into our England Premier League predictions hub for daily tips, stats, and odds on every fixture.
When is Burnley vs Chelsea 2025? Mark November 22, 2025, for this Premier League showdown – a must-watch for relegation and top-four drama.
What time does Burnley vs Chelsea kick off? 13:30 local time – tune in early for live updates and in-play betting odds.
What’s the best Burnley vs Chelsea prediction? X2 (away win or draw) – backed by form, H2H, and value at 1.14 odds.
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Where to bet on Burnley vs Chelsea? Top bookmakers offer competitive Chelsea away win odds, live streaming, and quick payouts. Always bet responsibly.
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