Barcelona vs Alaves Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – La Liga 2025/26
The Spotify Camp Nou erupts as Barcelona host Alaves in a La Liga title tilt on Saturday, 29th November 2025 at 16:15 WAT / 15:15 GMT.
The Blaugrana, one point behind leaders Real Madrid after a stunning 4-0 demolition of Athletic Club, eye the top spot with a perfect home record (6W from 6, 18 pts). Alaves, scrapping in 14th with 15 points and reeling from back-to-back 1-0 defeats (to Girona and Celta Vigo), face a daunting trip—winless in 17 straight vs Barca since 2016. Hansi Flick’s attack (36 goals, league-high) meets Luis Garcia’s defensive grit (12 conceded, second-best), but injuries (Ter Stegen out until Dec) test depth.
At Socapredict, we’ve crunched stats, form, and odds—Barca’s firepower overwhelms in a routine rout.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: Barcelona to Win (Home Win) Odds: 1.19 – 1.22 (heavy favorite) Confidence Level: Very High
Barcelona vs Alaves Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Barcelona Win | 1.19–1.22 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.60 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | BTTS – No | 1.80 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 3-0 | 5.50 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why Barcelona Win is the standout pick
- Hosts: 6/6 La Liga home wins (18:4 GD); 10W-1D-2L overall; Lewandowski (8G) nets vs Alaves in 7/7
- Alaves: 1W in 5 (D1 L3); 0 road wins vs top-4 (conceded 2.5/game); failed to score in last 2
- H2H: Barca 23W in 31 (14 straight unbeaten); 3-0 & 1-0 last season; 6/10 over 2.5
- Market: 82% implied win prob; BTTS No in 50% Barca homes, 60% Alaves aways
Barcelona Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | Champions League | Chelsea (A) | 3-0 L | –3 |
| 22/11/2025 | La Liga | Athletic Club (H) | 4-0 W | +4 |
| 09/11/2025 | La Liga | Celta Vigo (A) | 2-4 W | +2 |
| 05/11/2025 | Champions League | Club Brugge (A) | 3-3 D | 0 |
| 02/11/2025 | La Liga | Elche (H) | 3-1 W | +2 |
→ 3 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss → Scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) → Conceded 9 goals (1.8 per game)
Barcelona 2nd (31 pts); 36:15 GD; Lewandowski (8G), Raphinha (assists leader) fire; Ter Stegen out.
Alaves Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | La Liga | Celta Vigo (H) | 0-1 L | –1 |
| 08/11/2025 | La Liga | Girona (A) | 1-0 L | –1 |
| 02/11/2025 | La Liga | Espanyol (H) | 2-1 W | +1 |
| 30/10/2025 | Copa del Rey | Deportivo Getxo (A) | 0-7 W | +7 |
| 26/10/2025 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano (A) | 1-0 L | –1 |
→ 2 Wins, 0 Draws, 3 Losses → Scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) → Conceded 4 goals (0.8 per game)
Alaves 14th (15 pts); 11:12 GD; Boye (3G) leads; Garces suspended, Maras out long-term.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – Barcelona vs Alaves
Barca dominate (48 meetings):
- Barcelona 35W, Alaves 7W, 6 Draws
- Goals: Barcelona 100+, Alaves 30+ (avg 2.8/game)
- Recent: Barcelona 1-0 Alaves (Feb 2025); Alaves 0-3 Barcelona (Oct 2024); Barcelona 2-1 Alaves (Nov 2023)
- Trend: Barca 5 straight wins; 6/10 over 2.5; Unbeaten in 16 (since 2016)
La Liga Standings (After Matchday 13)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28:12 | 32 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 36:15 | 31 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:11 | 29 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 25:11 | 28 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:14 | 21 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 14 | Alaves | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:12 | 15 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
Barcelona chase summit; Alaves fight mid-table—win vaults Barca to 34 pts.
Final Verdict
Barcelona’s Camp Nou mastery crushes Alaves’ grit. Barcelona Win @ 1.19–1.22 is the banker; BTTS No @1.80 for a predicted 3-0.
FAQs – Barcelona vs Alaves
When is Barcelona vs Alaves? 29 November 2025, 16:15 WAT (15:15 GMT)
Where to watch? Live on Movistar LaLiga/ESPN—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Barcelona to Win with very high confidence, per home form and H2H.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Sharp prices, bonuses, live action—join now.
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