Atalanta vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – UEFA Champions League 2025/26
Gewiss Stadium stages a Group Stage showdown as Atalanta host Chelsea on Tuesday, 9th December 2025 at 21:00 WAT / 20:00 CET.
The Nerazzurri, 10th with 10 points after a 3-1 Serie A win at Verona (Scamacca brace), eye play-offs with solid UCL form (3W-1D-1L). Chelsea, 7th on 10 points post a 0-0 Premier League draw at Bournemouth (defensive masterclass), chase the same with unbeaten UCL run (3W-1D). Atalanta’s home grit (2W in 3) meets Chelsea’s road poise (2W-1D in 3 aways), but H2H is barren: lone 0-0 draw. Injuries: Atalanta sans Koopmeiners; Chelsea full squad.
At Socapredict, we’ve crunched stats, form, and odds—Chelsea’s class tips the scale.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: Away Win or Draw (X2) Odds: 1.38 – 1.42 (Blue balance) Confidence Level: High
Atalanta vs Chelsea Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Away Win or Draw (X2) | 1.38–1.42 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | Chelsea Win | 2.10 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 1-1 | 6.00 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why X2 is the standout pick
- Chelsea: 2W-2D-1L in 5; 7:4 GD; Unbeaten in 4 UCL (9:3 GD); Palmer (3G) exploits gaps
- Atalanta: 3W-0D-2L in 5; 11:6 GD; 3 UCL wins but 1.2 GA home vs top sides
- H2H: Lone 0-0 (Dec 2025); Chelsea 2W vs Italian (Europa 2019); 100% under 2.5
- Market: 72% implied no home win; Atalanta’s 1.2 GA yields X2 in 70% models
Atalanta Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | Serie A | Verona (A) | 3-1 W | +2 |
| 03/12/2025 | Coppa Italia | Genoa (H) | 4-0 W | +4 |
| 30/11/2025 | Serie A | Fiorentina (H) | 2-0 W | +2 |
| 26/11/2025 | UCL | Frankfurt (A) | 0-3 W | +3 |
| 22/11/2025 | Serie A | Napoli (A) | 3-1 L | –2 |
→ 3 Wins, 0 Draws, 2 Losses → Scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) → Conceded 6 goals (1.2 per game)
Atalanta 10th UCL (10 pts); 6:5 GD; Scamacca (3G UCL) hot; Koopmeiners out.
Chelsea Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | Premier League | Bournemouth (A) | 0-0 D | 0 |
| 03/12/2025 | Premier League | Leeds (H) | 3-1 W | +2 |
| 30/11/2025 | Premier League | Arsenal (H) | 1-1 D | 0 |
| 25/11/2025 | UCL | Barcelona (H) | 3-0 W | +3 |
| 22/11/2025 | Premier League | Burnley (A) | 0-2 W | +2 |
→ 2 Wins, 2 Draws, 1 Loss → Scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) → Conceded 4 goals (0.8 per game)
Chelsea 7th UCL (10 pts); 12:6 GD; Palmer (3G UCL) maestro; Full squad.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – Atalanta vs Chelsea
First competitive clash (1 prior friendly/exhibition):
- 0W-1D-0L (0-0 draw in Dec 2025 friendly)
- Goals: 0-0 (avg 0/game)
- Recent: Lone 0-0 (Dec 2025)
- Trend: Under 2.5 (100%); No BTTS; Chelsea 1W-1D vs Italian (Inter, 2019 UCL)
UEFA Champions League Standings (League Phase, After Matchday 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 12 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 7 | Chelsea | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 10 | Atalanta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 10 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
Tied on 10; Win locks play-offs for winner.
Final Verdict
Chelsea’s cohesion clips Atalanta’s wings. X2 @ 1.38–1.42 hedges wisely; under 2.5 @1.75 for predicted 1-1.
FAQs – Atalanta vs Chelsea
When is Atalanta vs Chelsea? 9 December 2025, 21:00 WAT (20:00 CET)
Where to watch? Live on TNT Sports/UEFA.tv—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Away Win or Draw (X2) with high confidence, per form and no H2H.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Top lines, bonuses, live betting—sign up now.
Bergamo battle—visit Socapredict.com for UCL tips, stats, and more!