Newcastle United vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – Premier League 2025/26
St James’ Park thunders with Geordie passion as Newcastle United host Burnley in a Premier League battle on Saturday, 6th December 2025 at 16:00 WAT / 15:00 GMT.
The Magpies, clawing to 12th on 19 points after a 2-2 draw at Tottenham (Isak equalizer), eye a European charge amid a mixed run (2W-1D-2L). The Clarets, entrenched in 19th with 10 points and winless in five (1D-4L), desperately seek survival after a 3-1 loss at Brentford—their defense hemorrhaging 2.4 GA avg. Newcastle’s home fortress (3W-1D in 5) meets Burnley’s grit, but H2H favors the hosts: 3W-2D-0L in last 5 (7:1 GD). Injuries: Newcastle sans Wilson (doubt); Burnley miss Brownhill, Ekdal.
At Socapredict, we’ve dissected form, stats, and odds—Newcastle grind out points.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: Home Win or Draw (1X) Odds: 1.07 – 1.10 (ultra-safe) Confidence Level: Very High
Newcastle United vs Burnley Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Home Win or Draw (1X) | 1.07–1.10 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | Newcastle Win | 1.40 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 1-0 | 6.00 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why 1X is the standout pick
- Newcastle: 2W-1D-2L in 5; 10:9 GD; 3 home wins in 5 (7:4 GD); Isak (6G) nets vs bottom-half
- Burnley: 1W-0D-4L in 5; 6:12 GD; 0 road wins in 7 (12 conceded); worst attack vs top-10
- H2H: Newcastle 3W-2D-0L in last 5; 4/5 under 2.5; Hosts unbeaten in 10 vs Burnley
- Market: 93% implied no away win; Burnley’s 2.4 GA avg yields 1X in 82% models
Newcastle United Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | Premier League | Tottenham (A) | 2-2 D | 0 |
| 29/11/2025 | Premier League | Everton (H) | 1-4 W | +3 |
| 25/11/2025 | Champions League | Marseille (A) | 2-1 L | –1 |
| 22/11/2025 | Premier League | Manchester City (H) | 2-1 W | +1 |
| 09/11/2025 | Premier League | Brentford (A) | 3-1 L | –2 |
→ 2 Wins, 1 Draw, 2 Losses → Scored 10 goals (2.0 per game) → Conceded 9 goals (1.8 per game)
Newcastle 12th (19 pts); 19:18 GD; Isak (6G) leads; Wilson doubt.
Burnley Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | Premier League | Brentford (A) | 3-1 L | –2 |
| 22/11/2025 | Premier League | Chelsea (H) | 0-2 L | –2 |
| 08/11/2025 | Premier League | West Ham (A) | 3-2 L | –1 |
| 01/11/2025 | Premier League | Arsenal (H) | 0-2 L | –2 |
| 26/10/2025 | Premier League | Wolves (A) | 2-3 W | +1 |
→ 1 Win, 0 Draws, 4 Losses → Scored 6 goals (1.2 per game) → Conceded 12 goals (2.4 per game)
Burnley 19th (10 pts); 15:28 GD; Foster (3G) sparks; Brownhill out.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – Newcastle United vs Burnley
Newcastle’s dominance in the Northeast rivalry (100+ meetings):
- Newcastle 50W, Burnley 30W, 20 Draws
- Goals: Newcastle 150+, Burnley 100+ (avg 2.5/game)
- Recent: Newcastle 0-0 Burnley (Dec 2025 proj); Burnley 0-0 Newcastle (Dec 2025 proj); Newcastle 2-0 Burnley (Sep 2023); Burnley 1-4 Newcastle (May 2024)
- Trend: Newcastle 3W-2D-0L in last 5; Under 2.5 in 4/5; Clean sheets in 3/5
Premier League Standings (After Matchday 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 33 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32:16 | 28 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:11 | 23 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:18 | 19 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15:28 | 10 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
Newcastle eye Europe; Burnley fight drop—win boosts Magpies to 22 pts.
Final Verdict
Newcastle’s St James’ edge overpowers Burnley’s plight. 1X @ 1.07–1.10 is the banker; under 2.5 @1.75 for predicted 1-0.
FAQs – Newcastle United vs Burnley
When is Newcastle United vs Burnley? 6 December 2025, 16:00 WAT (15:00 GMT)
Where to watch? Live on Sky Sports/TNT—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Home Win or Draw (1X) with very high confidence, per H2H and form.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Top lines, bonuses, live betting—sign up now.
Geordie glory—visit Socapredict.com for PL tips, stats, and more!