Athletic Club vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – La Liga 2025/26
San Mamés Stadium hosts one of La Liga’s fiercest rivalries as Athletic Club welcome Real Madrid on Wednesday, 3rd December 2025 at 19:00 WAT / 18:00 CET.
The Lions, clinging to 8th on 20 points after a morale-boosting 2-0 away win at Levante (Navarro and Williams scoring), eye European spots but face a stern test against the draw-plagued Los Blancos. Real Madrid, second on 33 points but frustrated by three consecutive stalemates (1-1 at Girona latest), trail leaders Barcelona by four and desperately need a road win—their best away record (15 pts from 8) is under threat. Athletic’s home steel (3W-2D, 1.0 GA) meets Madrid’s firepower (Mbappé’s 14 La Liga goals), but H2H low-scorers (7/8 under 3 goals) hint at caution. Injuries: Athletic sans Sannadi (meniscus); Madrid full strength.
At Socapredict, we’ve crunched stats, form, and odds—Madrid break through in a tight affair.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: Over 1.5 Goals Odds: 1.30 – 1.35 (safe entry) Confidence Level: High
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.30–1.35 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Real Madrid Win | 1.75 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | BTTS – Yes | 1.85 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 1-2 | 7.50 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why Over 1.5 Goals is the standout pick
- Athletic: 3:6 GD in 5 (0.6 scored); 3/5 over 1.5; home avg 2.0 goals
- Madrid: 7:7 GD in 5 (1.4 scored); 4/5 over 1.5; away 2.0 GPG
- H2H: 7/8 over 1.5 (avg 1.9); Recent: 2-1 Athletic (Dec 2024), 1-0 Madrid (Apr 2025)
- Market: 77% implied over; Combined 2.0 GPG yields 75% hit rate, despite low totals
Athletic Club Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | La Liga | Levante (A) | 0-2 W | +2 |
| 25/11/2025 | Champions League | Slavia Praha (A) | 0-0 D | 0 |
| 22/11/2025 | La Liga | Barcelona (A) | 4-0 L | –4 |
| 09/11/2025 | La Liga | Oviedo (H) | 1-0 W | +1 |
| 05/11/2025 | Champions League | Newcastle (H) | 2-0 L | –2 |
→ 2 Wins, 1 Draw, 2 Losses → Scored 3 goals (0.6 per game) → Conceded 6 goals (1.2 per game)
Athletic 8th (20 pts); 14:17 GD; Williams (3G) leads; Sannadi out long-term.
Real Madrid Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | La Liga | Girona (A) | 1-1 D | 0 |
| 26/11/2025 | Champions League | Olympiakos (A) | 3-4 W | +1 |
| 23/11/2025 | La Liga | Elche (A) | 2-2 D | 0 |
| 09/11/2025 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano (H) | 0-0 D | 0 |
| 04/11/2025 | Champions League | Liverpool (H) | 1-0 L | –1 |
→ 1 Win, 3 Draws, 1 Loss → Scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) → Conceded 7 goals (1.4 per game)
Madrid 2nd (33 pts); 29:13 GD; Mbappé (14G) carries; Full squad available.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
Madrid’s edge in the Clásico Vasco (248 meetings):
- Madrid 124W, Athletic 79W, 45 Draws
- Goals: Madrid 200+, Athletic 150+ (avg 2.5/game)
- Recent: Athletic 0-0 Madrid (Dec 2025 proj); Madrid 0-0 Athletic (May 2026 proj); Athletic 2-1 Madrid (Dec 2024); Madrid 1-0 Athletic (Apr 2025)
- Trend: 7/8 under 3 goals; BTTS in 40%; Madrid unbeaten in 3 (1W-2D)
La Liga Standings (After Matchday 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 42:17 | 37 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29:13 | 33 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28:14 | 31 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 22:14 | 24 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | 20 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
Athletic chase Europe; Madrid title hunt—win keeps Los Blancos close.
Final Verdict
Madrid’s quality shines in Bilbao’s cauldron. Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30–1.35 cashes reliably; Madrid Win @1.75 for predicted 1-2.
FAQs – Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
When is Athletic Club vs Real Madrid? 3 December 2025, 19:00 WAT (18:00 CET)
Where to watch? Live on Movistar LaLiga/ESPN—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Over 1.5 Goals with high confidence, per form and H2H.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Top lines, bonuses, live betting—sign up now.
Clásico Vasco fever—visit Socapredict.com for La Liga tips, stats, and more!