Brentford vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – Premier League 2025/26
The Gtech Community Stadium sets the stage for a relegation six-pointer as Brentford host Burnley in a Premier League battle on Saturday, 29th November 2025 at 16:00 WAT / 15:00 GMT.
Brentford, riding high in 13th with 16 points after a gritty 3-1 win over Newcastle, aim to extend their unbeaten home streak (4W-1D in 6). Burnley, rooted in 19th on 10 points and reeling from three straight losses (7 conceded), desperately need points to escape the drop zone—where they’ve sat since September. The Bees’ attacking flair (18 goals scored) clashes with the Clarets’ leaky defense (24 conceded, third-worst), but H2H favors caution: two wins apiece in four PL meetings, with no draws.
At Socapredict, we’ve dissected form, stats, and odds—unlocking value in a low-risk home edge.
Socapredict Expert Prediction Best Bet: Home Win or Draw (1X) Odds: 1.12 – 1.15 (safe accumulator play) Confidence Level: High
Brentford vs Burnley Betting Tips & Predictions
| Market | Selection | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Home Win or Draw (1X) | 1.12–1.15 | ★★★★★ |
| Alternative Bet | Both Teams to Score – Yes | 1.80 | ★★★★☆ |
| Value Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.70 | ★★★★☆ |
| Risky but Juicy | Correct Score 2-1 | 8.50 | ★★★☆☆ |
Why 1X is the standout pick
- Brentford: Unbeaten in 10 PL home games vs promoted sides (28 goals scored); 4W in 6 homes this season
- Burnley: 0W in 6 aways (15 conceded); three straight losses, including 0-2 at Chelsea
- H2H: Home side won all four PL meetings; Brentford 3-0 last home win (2023)
- Market: 85% implied prob for no away win; BTTS in 75% of Brentford homes, 60% Burnley aways
Brentford Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | Premier League | Brighton (A) | 2-1 L | –1 |
| 09/11/2025 | Premier League | Newcastle (H) | 3-1 W | +2 |
| 01/11/2025 | Premier League | Crystal Palace (A) | 2-0 L | –2 |
| 28/10/2025 | League Cup | Grimsby (A) | 0-5 W | +5 |
| 25/10/2025 | Premier League | Liverpool (H) | 3-2 W | +1 |
→ 3 Wins, 0 Draws, 2 Losses → Scored 12 goals (2.4 per game) → Conceded 7 goals (1.4 per game)
Brentford 13th (16 pts); 18 scored, 19 conceded; Thiago (8G) in red-hot form; Carvalho/Dasilva out long-term.
Burnley Form & Key Stats (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | Premier League | Chelsea (H) | 0-2 L | –2 |
| 08/11/2025 | Premier League | West Ham (A) | 3-2 L | –1 |
| 01/11/2025 | Premier League | Arsenal (H) | 0-2 L | –2 |
| 26/10/2025 | Premier League | Wolves (A) | 2-3 W | +1 |
| 18/10/2025 | Premier League | Leeds (H) | 2-0 W | +2 |
→ 2 Wins, 0 Draws, 3 Losses → Scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) → Conceded 9 goals (1.8 per game)
Burnley 19th (10 pts); 14 scored, 24 conceded; Flemming (key creator); Amdouni out until April.
Head-to-Head (H2H) – Brentford vs Burnley
Evenly split in PL era (4 meetings):
- Brentford 2W, Burnley 2W, 0 Draws
- Goals: Brentford 5, Burnley 5 (avg 2.5/game)
- Recent: Burnley 2-1 Brentford (Mar 2024); Brentford 3-0 Burnley (Oct 2023); Brentford 2-0 Burnley (Mar 2022)
- Trend: Home wins all four; BTTS in 50%; Over 2.5 in 50%
Premier League Standings (After Matchday 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:6 | 29 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:9 | 20 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 13 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:19 | 16 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| 19 | Burnley | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 10 |
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
Brentford eye mid-table security; Burnley fight drop—win boosts Bees to 19 pts.
Final Verdict
Brentford’s home sting and Burnley’s woes tilt the scales. 1X @ 1.12–1.15 is the safe bet; layer BTTS Yes @1.80 for value in a predicted 2-1.
FAQs – Brentford vs Burnley
When is Brentford vs Burnley? 29 November 2025, 16:00 WAT (15:00 GMT)
Where to watch? Live on Sky Sports/PEACOCK—check locals.
What is Socapredict’s official prediction? Home Win or Draw (1X) with high confidence, via home form and H2H.
Where can I get the best odds? Our partners: Sharp prices, bonuses, live markets—claim now.
Score with us—explore Socapredict.com for PL tips, stats, and more!