Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction: Premier League Clash Preview, Stats & H2H – November 9, 2025
The Premier League never lacks for intriguing mid-table battles, and the November 9, 2025, showdown between Aston Villa and Bournemouth at Villa Park is shaping up as a tactical chess match with goals on the horizon. As Round 11 unfolds under crisp 54°F conditions, Villa—sitting 12th with 15 points—host a Bournemouth side in 7th place on 18 points. Our comprehensive Aston Villa vs Bournemouth prediction breaks down the form, history, team news, and why a 2-2 draw feels like the smart call in this evenly poised encounter.
Match Preview: Home Resilience Meets Road Resilience
Aston Villa have turned Villa Park into a fortress this season, securing three wins in their last five home Premier League games. Their overall form is impressive: four wins and two losses in the last six, with a miserly nine goals scored but just 10 conceded, hinting at a defensive solidity that’s kept them competitive. Bournemouth, meanwhile, have been the surprise package, boasting an 83% win rate in their last six league outings (five wins, one loss) and a 50% overall success rate. However, their away record tempers the hype: just one win in their last five road trips, with two draws and two defeats.
The distance between Birmingham and Bournemouth—123 miles—adds a regional flavor, but it’s Villa’s home edge that could tip the scales. Expect a game of contrasting styles: Villa’s organized press versus Bournemouth’s fluid counters. With an average of 3.07 goals per game in their meetings, over 2.5 goals looms large. Premier League betting tips highlight the draw at 35% probability and odds of +138 as prime value.
Key Stats Snapshot:
- Aston Villa Home Form: 3 wins in last 5 (60% win rate implied)
- Bournemouth Away Form: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses (20% win rate)
- Overall League Position: Villa (12th, -1 GD), Bournemouth (7th, +3 GD)
Head-to-Head: Villa’s Edge in Recent Clashes
Aston Villa hold the upper hand historically, winning three of the last six head-to-heads against Bournemouth, with two draws and just one Cherries victory. These fixtures have often been tight, low-scoring affairs early on but exploding into life late. While specific recent match details aren’t fully detailed in sources, the trend favors Villa at home, where they’ve remained unbeaten in the last three meetings.
H2H Breakdown: Aston Villa 50% wins | Draw 33% | Bournemouth 17% wins. This rivalry, though not a traditional derby, carries weight as both clubs chase European dreams.
Team News: Defensive Concerns for Both Sides
Injuries could dictate the narrative, particularly in midfield and defense, potentially leading to an open game.
Aston Villa Injuries:
- Y. Tielemans (Midfielder): Unknown Injury – Uncertain return
- A. Mvom Onana (Midfielder): Hamstring Injury – Uncertain
Bournemouth Injuries/Suspensions:
- J. Hill (Defender): Unknown Injury – Uncertain
- J. Soler Barreto (Defender): Called Up to National Team – Absent
No major suspensions, but Villa’s midfield depth takes a hit, while Bournemouth’s backline misses key personnel. Live odds reflect the balance: Villa +230, Draw +138, Bournemouth +230.
Premier League Standings: Mid-Table Squeeze
After 10-11 games, the table is a dogfight for Europa League spots. Here’s the latest snapshot:
| Position | Team | PTS | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | +15 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 20 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 11 | +10 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | +12 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 18 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +4 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +3 |
| 8 | Manchester United | 18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +5 |
| 10 | Brighton | 15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 | Everton | 15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 | Brentford | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 | Newcastle United | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 |
| 16 | Leeds United | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 |
| 17 | Burnley | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 25 | -18 |
Qualification: Top 4 for Champions League, 5-7 for Europa League, bottom 3 for Relegation.
(Note: Minor positional variances exist across sources—e.g., Bournemouth listed as 5th in some previews—but the points tally confirms their edge.)
Our Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction
Form screams goals, history whispers caution, and injuries suggest chaos. Our model lands on a 2-2 draw, with 35% probability for the stalemate and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. Villa’s home grit should cancel Bournemouth’s attacking verve, leading to a share of the spoils. For EPL Round 11 betting tips, target:
- Draw @ +138 – High-value anchor
- Both Teams to Score: Yes – 68% likelihood
- Over 2.5 Goals – Backed by 3.07 avg. H2H goals
Kickoff is at 3:00 PM GMT—will Villa climb the table or will Bournemouth extend their hot streak? Drop your Aston Villa vs Bournemouth prediction in the comments!
Article live-updated for November 9, 2025. For daily Premier League previews and soccer predictions, head to SoCaPredict.com.