Getafe vs Real Madrid Prediction: Real Madrid to Win Away in La Liga Clash
On October 19, 2025, Getafe hosts Real Madrid at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez for a La Liga Matchday 9 showdown, kicking off at 3:00 PM ET. The sports card above highlights Real Madrid as the clear favorites, and our prediction backs an away win for Los Blancos, with a high likelihood of them scoring at least two goals based on current form and historical data.
Team Form and Recent Performances
Real Madrid, led by Xabi Alonso, top the La Liga table with 21 points from eight matches (7 wins, 1 loss), boasting a +10 goal difference. Their recent 3-1 victory over Villarreal, powered by a Kylian Mbappé brace and a Vinícius Júnior goal, underscores their attacking dominance, averaging 2.41 goals per game. Despite injuries to key defenders like Antonio Rüdiger and Dean Huijsen, Madrid’s attack, led by Mbappé (9 goals in 8 games) and Vinícius (5 goals, 4 assists), remains lethal.
Getafe, sitting 11th with 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), have been solid at home, remaining unbeaten at the Coliseum this season. However, their 2-1 loss to Osasuna before the international break exposed offensive struggles, with only 9 goals scored in 8 games (1.13 per match). The absence of key midfielder Christantus Uche and doubts over Djené and Abdel Abqar further weaken their setup against a formidable Madrid side.
Head-to-Head and Goal Trends
Real Madrid have dominated this fixture, winning 31 of 41 matches against Getafe, including the last seven in La Liga without conceding in six. The sports card above shows their most recent encounter ended 1-0 to Madrid at the Coliseum. In the last 10 meetings, Real Madrid averaged 2.21 goals per game, while Getafe managed just 0.71. Notably, 100% of Real Madrid’s away games this season have seen over 1.5 goals, with 5 of their last 6 hitting over 2.5 goals.
For this match, Real Madrid are expected to score at least two goals, supported by their 17.6 expected goals (xG) and Getafe’s defensive vulnerabilities (11 goals conceded). Getafe’s low xG of 5.5 and failure to score in six of their last seven against Madrid make a clean sheet for Los Blancos likely.
Why Real Madrid to Win and Score 2+ Goals?
Key factors supporting an away win with at least two goals:
- Attacking Firepower: Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior are in scintillating form, with Madrid averaging 3 goals per game in their last four matches across all competitions. Arda Güler’s playmaking (3 goals, 3 assists) adds further threat.
- Getafe’s Offensive Woes: With only 5.5 xG and key absences, Getafe struggle to score against top sides, managing just one goal in their last seven games against Madrid.
- Historical Dominance: Madrid’s perfect record in the last seven encounters, including five clean sheets, suggests they’ll control this game.
- Defensive Adjustments: Despite injuries, Madrid’s makeshift defense with Federico Valverde at right-back and Éder Militão in the center has held firm, as seen in their 3-1 win over Villarreal.
The sports card above indicates Real Madrid’s 61.1% win probability, with odds of 1.47 for an away win and 2.05 for a win-to-nil. Over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, but Madrid scoring 2+ goals aligns with their 57% attack rating and Getafe’s 50% defensive rating.
Prediction and Betting Tips
Real Madrid are poised to secure a comfortable victory, likely by a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline, as predicted by multiple sources. Betting on Real Madrid to win with a -1 handicap (odds around 1.85) or Mbappé to score anytime (odds 1.78) offers strong value. For safer bets, Real Madrid to win to nil or over 1.5 goals (odds 1.62) are solid options given Getafe’s scoring struggles.