Newcastle United vs Liverpool Prediction, Stats, H2H – August 25, 2025
Match Overview
Date: August 25, 2025
Venue: St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England
Weather: 54°F, partly cloudy
Competition: Premier League, Round 2
Newcastle United, currently 15th in the Premier League standings, will host 5th-placed Liverpool in what promises to be an intense battle. With Liverpool boasting a 57% win probability, this match is set to deliver high-octane action. Our prediction points to a 1-3 victory for Liverpool with an average of 3.16 goals expected, making this a must-watch fixture for football fans.
Head-to-Head Record
Liverpool have historically dominated Newcastle United, winning 4 of their last 6 encounters across all competitions. Here’s a look at their recent head-to-head results:
- 04/13/2015: Newcastle United 2-0 Liverpool (EPL)
- 11/01/2014: Newcastle United 1-0 Liverpool (EPL)
- 05/11/2014: Liverpool 2-1 Newcastle United (EPL)
- 10/19/2013: Newcastle United 2-2 Liverpool (EPL)
- 04/27/2013: Newcastle United 0-6 Liverpool (EPL)
- 11/04/2012: Liverpool 1-1 Newcastle United (EPL)
Key Insight: Liverpool have secured 67% of the wins in their last 6 meetings, while Newcastle United have managed just 17%. Expect Liverpool to leverage their attacking prowess in this matchup.
Team Form and Stats
Newcastle United
- Position: 15th (1 point from 1 game, 0-0-0, 0 GF, 0 GA)
- Recent Form: Newcastle have won 2 of their last 3 home matches, showcasing resilience at St. James’ Park.
- Key Stats:
- Clean sheets: 3 in 6 games (0.5 per game)
- Corners: 42 (7 per game)
- Yellow cards: 11 (1.83 per game)
- Injuries:
- S. Botman (Defender, Knee Surgery, Out indefinitely)
- M. Thiaw (Defender, Unknown injury, Out indefinitely)
Liverpool
- Position: 5th (3 points from 1 game, 1-0-0, 4 GF, 2 GA)
- Recent Form: Liverpool have struggled on the road, losing 2 of their last 3 away matches.
- Key Stats:
- Clean sheets: 0 in 6 games
- Corners: 29 (4.83 per game)
- Yellow cards: 6 (1 per game)
- Injuries:
- A. Mac Allister (Midfielder, Unknown, Out until 08/18/2025)
Prediction and Betting Tips
Our analysis predicts a Liverpool victory with a scoreline of 1-3. The data suggests over 2.5 goals in the match, driven by Liverpool’s attacking depth and Newcastle’s home resilience. Here are our top betting tips:
- Over 2.5 Goals: With an average of 3.16 goals expected, this bet offers great value.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Newcastle’s home form and Liverpool’s defensive vulnerabilities make this a likely outcome.
- Liverpool to Win: With a 57% win probability, Liverpool are favored to take all three points.
Betting Odds (indicative):
- Newcastle Win: +240
- Draw: +280
- Liverpool Win: +100
Match Insights
- Newcastle’s Home Advantage: St. James’ Park is a fortress, with Newcastle securing 2 wins in their last 3 home games. However, their defensive injuries could be a concern against Liverpool’s potent attack.
- Liverpool’s Attacking Edge: Despite their away struggles, Liverpool’s attacking unit, averaging 4 goals in their last game, will look to exploit Newcastle’s depleted defense.
- Key Players to Watch:
- Newcastle United: Look for their midfield to control possession and create chances.
- Liverpool: Their forward line will be crucial in breaking down Newcastle’s defense.
Upcoming Fixtures
Newcastle United
- 08/30/2025: vs. Tottenham (Severe, Difficulty 5)
- 09/13/2025: vs. Wolverhampton (Easy, Difficulty 2)
- 09/20/2025: vs. Fulham (Moderate, Difficulty 3)
Liverpool
- 08/31/2025: vs. Manchester United (Severe, Difficulty 5)
- 09/13/2025: vs. Nottingham Forest (Moderate, Difficulty 3)
- 09/20/2025: vs. Bournemouth (Moderate, Difficulty 3)
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